Mexico vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 1
MEX
62%
24%
14%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1994 |
MEX
2 - 1
IRL
54%
26%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1994 |
NOR
1 - 0
MEX
46%
27%
27%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1994 |
MEX
3 - 0
NIR
63%
24%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1994 |
USA
1 - 0
MEX
28%
30%
42%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1994 |
ARG
0 - 2
BGR
65%
21%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1994 |
BGR
4 - 0
GRC
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1994 |
NGA
3 - 0
BGR
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1994 |
BGR
1 - 1
UKR
83%
12%
6%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1994 |
KWT
2 - 2
BGR
28%
30%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |