Mexico vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1986 |
IRQ
0 - 1
MEX
44%
27%
30%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
MEX
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 2
MEX
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
MEX
68%
20%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
MEX
3 - 0
CAN
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
2 - 0
BGR
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1986 |
KOR
1 - 1
BGR
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1986 |
BGR
1 - 1
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
BGR
3 - 0
PRK
91%
7%
3%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
BGR
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |