Mexico vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1985 |
MEX
2 - 0
BRD
22%
26%
53%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 0
ENG
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 1
ITA
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1985 |
MEX
2 - 1
FIN
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 2
SUI
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1985 |
BGR
2 - 1
YUG
34%
26%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1985 |
BGR
2 - 0
FRA
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
BRD
4 - 1
BGR
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
BGR
1 - 0
DDR
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
BGR
2 - 2
POL
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |