Mexico vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1969 |
MEX
4 - 0
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
MEX
1 - 0
BEL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
MEX
0 - 0
ENG
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1969 |
MEX
3 - 0
PER
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
MAR
3 - 0
BGR
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
LUX
1 - 3
BGR
31%
23%
46%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
POL
3 - 0
BGR
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
NED
1 - 1
BGR
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |