Mexico vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
77%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
14%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 2
SLV
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
USA
0 - 0
MEX
49%
26%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 0
BRA
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 1
MEX
49%
25%
25%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
MEX
2 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 2
TUR
94%
5%
1%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 0
USA
89%
8%
3%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
BRA
0 - 1
CMR
95%
4%
1%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
NGA
0 - 3
BRA
15%
21%
65%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 0
BRA
23%
23%
54%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |