Mexico vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
47%
26%
28%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
MEX
2 - 3
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
MEX
0 - 2
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
MEX
0 - 2
ARG
30%
26%
45%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
CAN
0 - 0
MEX
22%
27%
51%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
USA
1 - 2
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 0
COL
86%
10%
4%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 6
BRA
9%
19%
72%
|
100 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
BRA
5 - 0
BOL
88%
9%
3%
|
100 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
CHI
3 - 0
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |