Mexico vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
38.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1992 |
SLV
1 - 2
MEX
22%
31%
48%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
MEX
3 - 0
HUN
52%
26%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1991 |
CRC
1 - 1
MEX
32%
31%
38%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1991 |
MEX
1 - 1
URU
57%
26%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRC
65%
22%
13%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1992 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
47%
27%
26%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1992 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
27%
29%
44%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1992 |
BRA
3 - 1
FIN
83%
13%
4%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1992 |
BRA
3 - 0
USA
83%
13%
4%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 1
CSK
67%
21%
12%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |