Mexico vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 2
USA
44%
26%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 3
MEX
21%
25%
55%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 3
COL
39%
28%
34%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 0
HND
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
HND
2 - 0
MEX
13%
21%
65%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 0
AND
88%
9%
3%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ALG
3 - 2
BOL
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
URU
3 - 0
BOL
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
PER
25%
26%
48%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |