Mexico vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
MEX
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MEX
3 - 0
GTM
78%
16%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
37%
26%
37%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ARG
5 - 0
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 2
VEN
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 2
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 1
MEX
19%
23%
58%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 4
ECU
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |