Mexico vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 1
ARG
30%
24%
46%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2002 |
MEX
0 - 2
USA
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
MEX
1 - 1
ITA
17%
25%
59%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
75%
16%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
VEN
2 - 0
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
BOL
0 - 1
MEX
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
SEN
2 - 1
BOL
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
BOL
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2002 |
BRA
6 - 0
BOL
89%
9%
3%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | -1 |