Mexico vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
MEX
4 - 0
SLV
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
MEX
0 - 0
SUN
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
MEX
3 - 3
PER
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
MEX
3 - 1
PER
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
PER
1 - 0
MEX
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
SUN
4 - 1
BEL
75%
15%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
BEL
3 - 0
SLV
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 3
ENG
26%
24%
49%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
MEX
1 - 0
BEL
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
YUG
4 - 0
BEL
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |