Mexico vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
JAM
0 - 0
MEX
18%
27%
55%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
MEX
3 - 3
CRC
71%
19%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
MEX
0 - 0
USA
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
CAN
2 - 2
MEX
21%
28%
52%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
MEX
5 - 0
SLV
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
AUS
2 - 2
IRN
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
IRN
1 - 1
AUS
44%
28%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1997 |
TUN
0 - 3
AUS
36%
30%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
NZL
0 - 3
AUS
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |