Mexico vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
MEX
82%
13%
6%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
4 - 1
MEX
81%
12%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1970 |
MEX
1 - 0
BEL
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
MEX
4 - 0
SLV
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
MEX
0 - 0
SUN
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1970 |
GRC
1 - 3
AUS
47%
21%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1970 |
ISR
0 - 1
AUS
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
AUS
0 - 2
GRC
68%
16%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1969 |
AUS
2 - 2
GRC
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1969 |
AUS
1 - 0
GRC
68%
16%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |