Mexico vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1985 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 0
PER
66%
22%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1985 |
MEX
0 - 0
PER
66%
21%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
66%
22%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1985 |
MEX
2 - 0
BRD
22%
26%
53%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1985 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1985 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
75%
18%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
PER
1 - 0
ARG
23%
28%
49%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
79%
16%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEN
91%
7%
2%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |