Mexico vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
HUN
0 - 2
MEX
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
SWE
1 - 1
MEX
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1984 |
SUN
3 - 0
MEX
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1984 |
FIN
0 - 3
MEX
23%
25%
53%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1984 |
DDR
1 - 1
MEX
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
BRD
1 - 3
ARG
72%
18%
11%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1984 |
BEL
0 - 2
ARG
41%
28%
31%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
SUI
0 - 2
ARG
24%
28%
48%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1984 |
COL
1 - 0
ARG
17%
27%
56%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1984 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
70%
20%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |