Mexico vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
9.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1985 |
KOR
1 - 2
MEX
41%
29%
30%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 1
ARG
36%
28%
35%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1985 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 0
PER
66%
22%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1985 |
MEX
0 - 0
PER
66%
21%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1985 |
TUN
1 - 0
ALG
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1985 |
ALG
1 - 1
DDR
23%
29%
49%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1985 |
CIV
1 - 1
ALG
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
ALG
3 - 1
TUN
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1984 |
ALG
1 - 2
GHA
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |