Mexico vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
CHI
1 - 2
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 2
BRA
7%
16%
77%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
PER
3 - 3
MEX
22%
25%
54%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1999 |
MEX
3 - 1
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
BRA
2 - 1
MEX
87%
9%
4%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
CRC
1 - 0
KSA
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1999 |
JAM
0 - 4
KSA
32%
29%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1999 |
JAM
2 - 1
KSA
30%
30%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 1999 |
CAN
0 - 2
KSA
35%
29%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1999 |
KSA
0 - 1
LTU
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |