Mexico vs Saudi Arabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1998 |
JPN
1 - 2
MEX
40%
26%
33%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1998 |
IRL
0 - 0
MEX
42%
27%
31%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1998 |
NOR
5 - 2
MEX
50%
26%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
MEX
6 - 0
EST
94%
5%
1%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
MEX
1 - 0
PER
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1998 |
NOR
6 - 0
KSA
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1998 |
ENG
0 - 0
KSA
77%
17%
7%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
KSA
2 - 1
NAM
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1998 |
KSA
1 - 1
ISL
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
KSA
2 - 1
TTO
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |