Mexico vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
BRA
2 - 1
MEX
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1968 |
BRA
1 - 2
MEX
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1968 |
URU
0 - 2
MEX
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1968 |
JPN
2 - 0
MEX
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
CHI
3 - 1
MEX
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1968 |
CHI
2 - 1
GER
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1968 |
BRA
2 - 2
GER
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
GER
2 - 1
BRA
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1967 |
GER
1 - 0
BGR
76%
15%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 0
GER
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |