Mexico vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
MEX
2 - 0
BGR
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1986 |
IRQ
0 - 1
MEX
44%
27%
30%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1986 |
MEX
1 - 1
PRY
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 2
MEX
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1986 |
ENG
3 - 0
MEX
68%
20%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 1
BRD
24%
24%
52%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1986 |
DNK
2 - 0
BRD
42%
23%
35%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
BRD
2 - 1
SCT
81%
12%
7%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
URY
1 - 1
BRD
34%
25%
41%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1986 |
BRD
3 - 1
NLD
72%
18%
10%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |