Mexico vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 0
ENG
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 1
ITA
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1985 |
MEX
2 - 1
FIN
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 2
SUI
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1985 |
MEX
5 - 0
POL
41%
28%
32%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
BRD
0 - 3
ENG
69%
19%
13%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1985 |
CSK
1 - 5
BRD
30%
26%
44%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
BRD
4 - 1
BGR
87%
10%
3%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
BRD
6 - 0
MLT
96%
3%
1%
|
94 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
POR
1 - 2
BRD
22%
26%
52%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |