Mexico vs S. Vicente y las Granadinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 2
SVN
89%
8%
3%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
MEX
2 - 2
COL
59%
25%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 4
YUG
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
MEX
2 - 1
KSA
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1995 |
USA
0 - 0
MEX
38%
28%
35%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1995 |
VCT
0 - 5
TTO
21%
28%
51%
|
24 | 71 | 47 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1995 |
VCT
3 - 2
CUB
23%
29%
48%
|
23 | 69 | 46 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1995 |
CYM
2 - 2
VCT
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 1995 |
ATG
1 - 5
VCT
77%
16%
8%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
BRB
2 - 0
VCT
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |