Mexico vs RD Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
MEX
1 - 0
VEN
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
MEX
1 - 0
GHA
82%
13%
5%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
MEX
0 - 1
KOR
61%
22%
18%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
MEX
2 - 1
NOR
54%
24%
23%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
EGY
4 - 1
COD
87%
9%
4%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
COD
0 - 2
CMR
15%
22%
63%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
ANG
0 - 0
COD
46%
24%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
TOG
0 - 2
COD
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
SEN
0 - 0
COD
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |