Mexico vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.5%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.9%
5-0
10.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
12%
4-0
14.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.4%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
5%
1.2%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
MEX
0 - 1
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2001 |
MEX
2 - 1
URU
45%
24%
31%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 2
MEX
47%
23%
29%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2001 |
PER
1 - 0
MEX
27%
25%
48%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2001 |
PAR
0 - 0
MEX
47%
25%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
COL
2 - 1
LBR
92%
7%
1%
|
55 | 92 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MLI
3 - 0
LBR
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
EGY
5 - 0
LBR
85%
12%
3%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
LBR
1 - 2
NAM
60%
21%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
TUN
2 - 0
LBR
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |