Mexico vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 3
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 4
URU
34%
25%
41%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MEX
1 - 0
BOL
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 2
USA
44%
26%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 3
MEX
21%
25%
55%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DMA
2 - 3
JAM
8%
17%
75%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
JAM
1 - 0
DOM
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
JAM
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
USA
3 - 1
JAM
78%
14%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 3
JAM
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |