Mexico vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
MEX
3 - 1
SLV
82%
14%
5%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAR
69%
20%
11%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 0
GHA
78%
16%
6%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
GER
4 - 1
MEX
65%
19%
16%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
CUW
0 - 2
JAM
12%
21%
67%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
JAM
1 - 2
CUW
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
JAM
1 - 1
GUF
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
PER
3 - 1
JAM
72%
18%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
HND
0 - 1
JAM
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |