Mexico vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
ENG
2 - 0
MEX
64%
22%
14%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
CRC
0 - 0
MEX
25%
28%
46%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
MEX
4 - 0
CAN
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
MEX
1 - 1
GTM
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1997 |
MEX
3 - 1
ECU
69%
20%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
BOL
6 - 0
JAM
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
JAM
0 - 0
USA
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
JAM
0 - 0
VEN
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
JAM
1 - 0
MEX
18%
28%
54%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
JAM
5 - 0
VCT
79%
17%
5%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |