Mexico vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
HND
2 - 1
MEX
22%
29%
49%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
VCT
0 - 3
MEX
12%
22%
66%
|
89 | 37 | 52 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
FRA
2 - 0
MEX
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
35%
28%
37%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1996 |
IRL
2 - 2
MEX
43%
28%
29%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
CRC
0 - 0
JAM
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
ECU
2 - 1
JAM
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1996 |
VCT
1 - 2
JAM
11%
20%
69%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
JAM
3 - 0
HND
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
JAM
2 - 0
CRC
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |