Mexico vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 1
MEX
15%
23%
63%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
MEX
46%
25%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 2
CMR
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 0
GTM
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
USA
1 - 1
MEX
46%
24%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
HND
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CAN
4 - 1
HND
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HND
1 - 0
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KSA
0 - 0
HND
52%
24%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 0
HND
60%
21%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |