Mexico vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
MEX
5 - 1
VCT
97%
3%
0%
|
90 | 36 | 54 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
ECU
1 - 0
MEX
30%
28%
42%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
MEX
2 - 1
JAM
72%
18%
9%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
HND
2 - 1
MEX
22%
29%
49%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
VCT
0 - 3
MEX
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 37 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1996 |
COL
2 - 1
HND
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
HND
0 - 0
JAM
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1996 |
HND
1 - 1
SLV
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
VCT
1 - 4
HND
5%
17%
78%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
HND
2 - 1
MEX
22%
29%
49%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |