Mexico vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.8%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
13.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15.9%
3-0
17%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
21%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.3%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.6%
1.5%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
MEX
2 - 0
GLP
94%
6%
1%
|
93 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
MEX
1 - 1
PAN
90%
8%
2%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 2
MEX
3%
11%
87%
|
93 | 54 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
MEX
0 - 0
GTM
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
MEX
4 - 0
VEN
71%
19%
11%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
USA
2 - 2
HTI
93%
6%
1%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
HTI
2 - 0
GRD
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
HND
1 - 0
HTI
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
HTI
1 - 2
SYR
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
HTI
1 - 1
PAN
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |