Mexico vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MEX
2 - 2
NGA
70%
19%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 1
MEX
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAN
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
MEX
40%
27%
33%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
URU
1 - 3
MEX
34%
25%
41%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
PAN
2 - 1
GTM
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
CAN
3 - 0
GTM
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
TTO
1 - 1
GTM
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
GTM
1 - 0
SLV
70%
18%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2007 |
USA
1 - 0
GTM
86%
11%
4%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | -1 |