Mexico vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2005 |
MEX
5 - 0
PAN
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
45%
27%
28%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2005 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRC
70%
19%
11%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 2
COL
64%
20%
16%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 0
JAM
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
JAM
2 - 1
GTM
46%
28%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2005 |
GTM
0 - 0
USA
20%
27%
53%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
TTO
3 - 2
GTM
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2005 |
GTM
2 - 1
PAN
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2005 |
GTM
1 - 1
RSA
40%
25%
36%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |