Mexico vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
SLV
0 - 1
MEX
6%
17%
77%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 0
MEX
77%
16%
8%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
62%
20%
18%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2001 |
MEX
4 - 1
SLV
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
CRC
0 - 0
MEX
40%
26%
35%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
ECU
1 - 0
GTM
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2002 |
CUB
0 - 0
GTM
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
CUB
0 - 1
GTM
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
GTM
3 - 1
PAN
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2001 |
CRC
0 - 2
GTM
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |