Mexico vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
MEX
4 - 0
TTO
82%
13%
6%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2000 |
CZE
2 - 1
MEX
53%
23%
24%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
JPN
0 - 1
MEX
31%
27%
42%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
MEX
2 - 1
IRN
66%
21%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2000 |
TTO
4 - 2
GTM
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
GTM
2 - 1
CHI
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
GTM
1 - 1
PAN
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
PAN
2 - 0
GTM
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GTM
1 - 1
ARM
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |