Mexico vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1997 |
MEX
3 - 1
ECU
69%
20%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
MEX
0 - 0
PER
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
USA
0 - 2
MEX
34%
28%
38%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
DEN
1 - 3
MEX
61%
22%
16%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1996 |
MEX
3 - 1
SLV
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
GTM
2 - 2
USA
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
GTM
2 - 1
TTO
50%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
GTM
1 - 0
CRC
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
CRC
3 - 0
GTM
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
USA
2 - 0
GTM
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |