Mexico vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1976 |
MEX
2 - 2
ISR
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
MEX
0 - 3
BRA
21%
26%
54%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1975 |
ISR
1 - 0
MEX
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
MEX
2 - 0
USA
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 1
GTM
59%
20%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
ISR
0 - 0
GTM
67%
18%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1976 |
GTM
1 - 0
CRC
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
SLV
1 - 1
GTM
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
PER
5 - 1
GTM
68%
17%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |