Mexico vs Spain U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
PER
3 - 3
MEX
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1968 |
MEX
4 - 0
GUI
83%
10%
7%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
COL
0 - 1
MEX
27%
21%
52%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1968 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
83%
10%
6%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1968 |
ESP
0 - 0
JPN
60%
19%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
ESP
3 - 0
NGA
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 1968 |
ESP
1 - 0
BRA
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1968 |
GBR
0 - 0
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1968 |
ESP
1 - 0
GBR
42%
21%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |