WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 2 Final
Global 18-0
Mexico vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.1%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
10.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.7%
4-0
15.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
17.4%
3-0
17.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.7%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
4.9%
0.9%
Win probability
0.22
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
DMA
0 - 10
MEX
10%
22%
69%
|
92 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
USA
1 - 0
MEX
48%
26%
26%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRC
65%
21%
14%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
MEX
1 - 1
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
DMA
0 - 10
MEX
10%
22%
69%
|
51 | 92 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
BHS
1 - 3
DMA
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
DMA
1 - 1
BHS
77%
14%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
BRB
2 - 1
DMA
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VGB
1 - 2
DMA
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |