Mexico vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
HND
0 - 0
MEX
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
MEX
2 - 2
CRC
60%
23%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
MEX
1 - 2
ECU
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 3
MEX
50%
23%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MEX
0 - 0
BOL
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
CUB
1 - 1
CUW
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
CUW
0 - 0
CUB
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
NYC
4 - 1
CUB
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
JAM
3 - 0
CUB
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
DOM
0 - 3
CUB
26%
23%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |