Mexico vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
MEX
1 - 1
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 0
ISL
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 2
URU
54%
23%
23%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 3
PER
75%
16%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2003 |
CRC
2 - 1
FIN
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
RSA
2 - 1
CRC
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CRC
2 - 0
CHN
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
AUT
2 - 0
CRC
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
USA
3 - 2
CRC
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |