Mexico vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
5 - 0
JAM
85%
11%
4%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
HND
0 - 0
MEX
23%
25%
52%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 0
BRA
8%
15%
77%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 2
SLV
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
USA
0 - 0
MEX
49%
26%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CRC
5 - 2
SLV
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
CUB
0 - 3
CRC
12%
21%
67%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
CRC
0 - 1
CAN
70%
18%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
CRC
1 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 0
CRC
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |