Mexico vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
MEX
0 - 0
USA
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
CAN
2 - 2
MEX
21%
28%
52%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
MEX
5 - 0
SLV
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
MEX
1 - 0
PER
74%
18%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 1
MEX
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
JAM
1 - 0
CRC
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
CRC
0 - 0
SLV
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1997 |
MEX
1 - 1
CRC
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1997 |
COL
4 - 1
CRC
65%
21%
13%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |