Mexico vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 1993 |
MEX
9 - 0
MTQ
78%
16%
7%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1993 |
ARG
2 - 1
MEX
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 2
MEX
40%
28%
32%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1993 |
CRC
0 - 2
MEX
31%
31%
38%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1993 |
PER
2 - 4
MEX
32%
30%
37%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 1993 |
CAN
1 - 1
CRC
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1993 |
JAM
1 - 1
CRC
19%
22%
59%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1993 |
CRC
0 - 2
MEX
31%
31%
38%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1993 |
CRC
3 - 1
PAN
82%
12%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
COL
4 - 1
CRC
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |