Mexico vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
MEX
1 - 1
GTM
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1997 |
MEX
3 - 1
ECU
69%
20%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
MEX
0 - 0
PER
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
USA
0 - 2
MEX
34%
28%
38%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
DEN
1 - 3
MEX
61%
22%
16%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
SLV
0 - 2
CAN
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
CAN
1 - 0
SLV
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
PAN
0 - 0
CAN
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
CUB
0 - 2
CAN
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1996 |
CAN
2 - 0
CUB
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |