Mexico vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
2.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
MEX
3 - 2
CHN
72%
19%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1987 |
MEX
3 - 1
SLV
75%
18%
7%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1986 |
MEX
0 - 0
BRD
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
MEX
2 - 0
BGR
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1986 |
IRQ
0 - 1
MEX
44%
27%
30%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
CAN
1 - 0
SGP
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1986 |
PRK
2 - 0
CAN
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
CAN
0 - 1
CHN
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
CAN
4 - 0
IDN
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
CAN
0 - 0
PRK
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |