Mexico vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2010 |
MEX
1 - 0
SEN
75%
17%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
67%
20%
13%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
MEX
0 - 0
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
MEX
2 - 1
PRK
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
NZL
0 - 2
MEX
16%
24%
61%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ANG
1 - 1
LVA
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
0 - 1
GHA
24%
25%
52%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
0 - 0
ALG
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
2 - 0
MWI
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
4 - 4
MLI
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |