Mauritania vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
MTN
2 - 0
CTA
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
MTN
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 0
MTN
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MTN
0 - 0
LBY
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MTN
0 - 0
MLI
20%
24%
57%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
SLE
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
SLE
1 - 1
LSO
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SLE
1 - 0
LBR
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
LBR
3 - 1
SLE
24%
22%
54%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ETH
1 - 0
SLE
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |