WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Mauritania vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 1
MTN
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MTN
3 - 1
RSA
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
SLE
0 - 2
MTN
67%
22%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
MTN
2 - 1
SLE
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
CMR
1 - 0
MTN
81%
15%
4%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 1
MTN
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 0
EQG
28%
23%
50%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
SSD
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
KEN
2 - 0
SSD
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
SSD
0 - 0
MOZ
36%
24%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |