Mauritania vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.1%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
<0%
+1
3.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
19.4%
76.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
23.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
29%
0-2
21.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
24.3%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
RWA
3 - 0
MTN
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
MTN
2 - 1
BDI
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 1
MTN
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MTN
1 - 1
EGY
3%
18%
79%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
EGY
3 - 0
MTN
98%
2%
0%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 4
MAR
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 0
MAR
30%
28%
43%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 2
MAR
19%
26%
56%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 5
MAR
7%
20%
74%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
ANG
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | +1 |